Jiang’s predictions about the war in Iran
Analyzing hypothetical warfare scenarios, the professor argued that any American attack on Iran would likely fail. “The third big prediction is that the United States will lose this war, which will forever change the global order,” he said, pointing to Iran’s demographics and topography as key factors.
“If this war [US-Iran] were to happen, there’s absolutely no way America can win this war,” he added.
Jiang attributes his predictive approach to “psycho-history,” a method he uses to analyze the past, future, and present. In previous videos, he has claimed that the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is motivated by anger over US interference in Iran: “We can suspect that a second Trump term war with Iran will be a major priority.
“Basically the United States is looking for a reason and Iran wants to give them a reason and that’s why I think war between the United States and Iran is very likely in the next two to four years.”
Speaking earlier this month, Jiang remained confident in his predictions: “Given my analysis of how the war is progressing, I think that Iran has many more advantages over the United States. The reality is, right now, it’s a war of attrition between the United States and Iran, and Iranians have been preparing 20 years for this conflict.”
He added that Iran has conducted “practice runs” and is engaging in what he described as “waging war against the entire global economy” by closing the Strait of Hormuz.
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